Wednesday, August 19, 2009

Defaulting Sukuks

Reuters reported that industry experts are warning more Sukuk defaults are coming after Kuwaiti firm Investment Dar defaulted on their USD100 million Sukuk. At the same time, Saudi conglomerates Saad Group and Ahmad Hamad Algosaibi & Bros are restructuring their debt, triggering concerns of a spill over effect on the Islamic finance industry. Neale Downes, a Bahrain-based lawyer at Trowers & Hamlins, estimated that 5-8 percent of Islamic bonds, or sukuk, in the market are susceptible to default as many were raised for real estate projects which have been hurt by the slowdown. "The longer the global recession goes, the higher the likelihood of default," said Mohammad Faiz Azmi, global Islamic finance leader at PricewaterhouseCoopers. "People are now using reserves or savings to try to keep themselves going. How long can that last? So far what we've seen is the tip of the iceberg."

My question is; if the Sukuk is structured on a pure profit and loss sharing (PLS) concept, can it default? In my opinion, PLS structures do not recognise defaults. This is because by definition, PLS means sharing profits when they are made (according to predetermined ratios) and absorbing losses when they arise. PLS is not a contract where returns (coupons/profits/dividends) are guaranteed regardless of actual performance. Defaults are caused by the guarantee d returns element in the structure – just like in the conventional bond arrangements.

However, Sukuks structured on an Ijarah or Murabahah contracts may default if the contracted payments are not made. This is because such contracts are not contracts of partnership but instead lease contract (Ijarah) and debt contract (deferred payment Murabahah). In this case, payment of coupon/profit/lease is contracted and obligatory, non-payment will result in a default.

When reporting on Sukuk defaults, it must be made known what is the underlying contract it was based on. I am still of the opinion that partnership based Sukuks have no risk of default apart from in cases of negligence or fraud.

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